NFL Betting Preview: 2010 New York Jets

Mark Sanchez and the New York Jets have Super Bowl dreams in 2010.

Is this the year the New York Jets get to the Super Bowl?

Jets fans hopes are for a big winning season culminating with a trip to the Super Bowl. The Jets fans are certainly justified in having high expectations as defense led the NFL in just about every category and came within a game of going to the Super Bowl. Many teams, who have made it to the Super Bowl and won it have had to go through building stages spanning several season. These teams first get to the playoffs and lose in the first round. Subsequent years see them build up the previous season achievements and the Jets are certainly heading in that direction.

The Jets total wins line is set at 9.5 at BoDog and I certainly like the NFL betting 'over' for this team. The Jets are 6/1 to win the AFC and only the Indianapolis Colts at 9/2 and the San Diego Chargers at 11/2 are ahead of the Jets. Still, is a pack of teams mentioned and then the Baltimore Ravens at 6/1 and the New England Patriots right behind at 13/2 are in the mix. Given that there are so may team deemed to have realistic chances to win the AFC crown also provides the Jets fan with additional value in taking them to win. interesting too is that the AFC Champion will be a significant favorite in the Super Bowl. The Jets at 10/1 are the same as the best teams in the NFC with Dallas and the Saints.

The Jets ranked first in the NFL in eight defensive categories and they were points allowed at 14.8 per game, first downs allowed at 14 per game, total yards per game at 253.3 per game, yards per play at just 4.24 per play, completions allowed at 16.2 per game, completion percentage allowed at just 51%, passing yards allowed at 153.7 per game, and third-down conversion percentage allowed at 31.5%. This unit is back and will be even stronger and more dominating.

Let’s take a look at some significant game situations for the Jets entering this season. The schedule is tough and even the weaker opponents set up poorly for the Jets in certain game situations. For example, the game at Detroit and at Cleveland in Weeks 8 and 9 respectively could be difficult covers for the Jets. No doubt they win, but they might have to claw their way to victory. Note that the Jets are are 1-11 against the spread when facing poor passing defenses that allow more than 235 yards per game spanning the past three seasons. Undoubtedly, they could be double digit road favorites in both of these games.

There is just one game on the road schedule where they will be dogs and that is on December 12 at New England. Note, however, that HC Rex Ryan has prepared well for these games and is on a perfect 6-0 ATS run when a road dog of less than eight points. They have back to back road dates with Miami and Buffalo in Weeks 3 and 4. Then in Week 6 they have a test in Denver where the under is on a 4-0 run in this matchup. The road game in Week 14 against the Steelers will be another tough game and the ‘under’ is in on a 5-1 run in this matchup.

Keep track of Jets wins and when they have won three straight you may have a solid betting opportunity. Jets are 22-9 ‘under’ (+12.1 Units) after three or more consecutive wins since 1992; 13-3 ‘under’ (+9.7 Units) in road games after having won six or seven out of their last eight games since 1992. Last, if you see game where you strongly believe the Jets will hold that team to less than 75 yards rushing then you are in good company. In games where the Jets have allowed less than 75 yards rushing they are 6-1 ATS in 2009; 12-2 ATS over the past three seasons; and 40-15 ATS since 1992.