NFL Trends by Sportsbook Breakers

November 25, 2010

Saints at Cowboys – The Saints are 6-0 ATS (14.4 ppg) since October 13, 2002 as a road favorite vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent. The Cowboys are 8-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since November 03, 2002 within 3 of pick when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25. The Cowboys are 0-8 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since November 14, 1993 the week after a straight up win as a TD+ favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Saints are 11-0 OU (13.5 ppg) since December 23, 2001 within 3 of pick on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25. The Cowboys are 8-0 OU (13.0 ppg) since November 22, 1990 as a home dog when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date. The Cowboys are 0-8 OU (-15.7 ppg) since November 19, 2006 within 3 of pick versus any team with more wins.

Bengals at Jets – The Bengals are 7-0 ATS (9.2 ppg) since December 24, 2006 as a dog when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Jets are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 03, 1991 as a 7+ favorite vs a non-divisional opponent with divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks. The Bengals are 0-7 OU (-11.7 ppg) since December 23, 2001 after a loss against a non-divisional opponent in which they were winning at the end of the third quarter. The Jets are 0-6 OU (-11.9 ppg) since October 01, 2001 at home vs a non-divisional opponent with divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks.

Patriots at Lions – The Patriots are 7-0-1 ATS (9.4 ppg) since September 19, 2004 as a road favorite when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since October 30, 2006 on the road when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week. The Lions are 0-7 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since September 23, 2007 vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home against a divisional opponent. The Patriots are 7-0-1 OU (10.2 ppg) since October 21, 2007 as a favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Lions are 7-0 OU (7.6 ppg) since September 24, 2006 after they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average on the road.

Eagles at Bears – The Eagles are 10-0 ATS (9.2 ppg) since January 13, 2007 after a divisional game which they held the ball more than their opponent. The Bears are 0-7-1 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since November 24, 1991 when they won by double digits in each of the past two weeks. The Bears are 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since January 15, 2006 when facing a team that has an average takeaway margin of at least +1 per game, season-to-date. The Eagles are 8-0-1 OU (8.2 ppg) since October 15, 2006 within 3 of pick vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent. The Bears are 0-6 OU (-8.4 ppg) since October 28, 2007 when facing a team that has benefited from an average of at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date.

Steelers at Bills – The Steelers are 0-9 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since January 2006 when they scored at least 35 points last game and covered by at least a TD. The Steelers are 7-0 ATS (13.0 ppg) since November 15, 1993 versus the Bills. The Steelers are 0-7-1 ATS (-4.9 ppg) since September 18, 2006 as a road favorite when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak. The Steelers are 0-6-1 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since October 22, 2006 on the road the week after scoring 34+ points. The Bills are 0-6-1 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since September 21, 2008 at home after a straight up win. The Steelers are 10-0 OU (13.4 ppg) since December 24, 1989 as a road favorite the week after at home in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Steelers are 7-0 OU (9.8 ppg) since January 08, 2006 after they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average at home. The Bills are 0-7 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 16, 2007 as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Bills are 0-6 OU (-14.7 ppg) since November 30, 2008 at home after a straight up win.

Rams at Broncos – The Rams are 0-6 ATS (-19.4 ppg) since December 16, 2007 as a dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Broncos are 0-8 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since October 13, 2002 as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent between divisional opponents. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS (-21.2 ppg) since September 28, 2008 when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak.

Panthers at Browns –The Panthers are 6-0 ATS (13.6 ppg) since December 24, 2006 when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last three games. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as a favorite the week after a game in which they punted at least eight times. The Browns are 13-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 16, 2003 after a game where the total was at least 42.5 and they gave up more points than expected. The Browns are 0-8 OU (-14.9 ppg) since November 25, 2007 versus any team with fewer wins. The Browns are 0-7 OU (-9.4 ppg) since September 15, 1991 at home when their opponent is off two 7+ losses.

Chargers at Colts – The Chargers are 7-0-2 ATS (8.1 ppg) since November 09, 2003 as a dog when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Colts are 7-0-2 ATS (8.9 ppg) since September 26, 1999 within 3 of pick after they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average. The Colts are 6-0 ATS (5.3 ppg) since November 02, 2003 within 3 of pick when they get a team off a Monday Night game. The Chargers are 6-0-1 OU (6.3 ppg) since December 03, 1995 the week after playing on Monday Night Football against a divisional opponent. The Colts are 0-7-1 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 09, 1990 at home when they lost 1-3 points last week against a non-divisional opponent.

Packers at Falcons – The Packers are 12-0 ATS (13.9 ppg) since October 14, 2001 as a dog the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Packers are 10-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since December 24, 1989 when they swept a team last week on the road. The Packers are 8-0 ATS (12.5 ppg) since December 24, 2004 on the road when facing a team that has forced an average of fewer than four punts per game season-to-date. The Packers are 7-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) since November 13, 2005 as a dog when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last two games. The Falcons are 7-0 ATS (8.8 ppg) since November 17, 2002 as a favorite when they had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last three games. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 23, 2008 when their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak.

Jaguars at Giants – The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS (15.6 ppg) since December 16, 2001 as a dog after a win in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Giants are 0-7 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since September 22, 1991 as a home 7+ favorite vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Jaguars are 7-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since November 24, 2002 on the road after a win in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

Dolphins at Raiders – The Dolphins are 0-11 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since November 22, 1992 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a favorite versus any team with the same record. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a favorite when facing a team that has completed less than 55% of their passes season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-9 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since December 24, 1994 within 3 of pick at home when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Raiders are 8-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since November 07, 2004 as a dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since October 17, 2004 at home when facing a team that has benefited from an average of less than 1.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-7 OU (-9.1 ppg) since November 12, 2006 at home after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 0-6 OU (-8.3 ppg) since November 15, 1998 as a home dog when on a 1 game SU and ATS losing streak.

Buccaneers at Ravens – The Buccaneers are 9-0 ATS (15.5 ppg) since December 06, 1999 as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Ravens are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 8, 2009 when they controlled the ball for at least 32 minutes last game. The Ravens are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since October 27, 1996 as a 7+ favorite versus any team with the same record. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since October 14, 2007 as a 7+ favorite after a straight up win. The Ravens are 6-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since December 26, 1999 at home when they won by 21+ points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Buccaneers are 0-8 OU (-9.1 ppg) since September 14, 2003 after a double digit win in which they did not score in the first quarter. The Ravens are 0-6 OU (-10.4 ppg) since November 26, 2006 as a favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak.

Vikings at Redskins – The Vikings are 9-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since November 19, 2001 after a Sunday game where they lost by at least 21 points. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 03, 1996 within 3 of pick after playing at home when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Redskins are 0-10 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since October 03, 1999 at home versus any team with fewer wins, after a straight up win. The Redskins are 0-9 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since December 02, 2001 as a favorite after a road game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time. The Redskins are 0-7 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 20, 2005 as a home favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak. The Vikings are 8-0 OU (11.6 ppg) since September 29, 2002 as a dog after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Redskins are 0-8 OU (-10.6 ppg) since December 30, 2007 as a home favorite. The Redskins are 7-0 OU (5.6 ppg) since December 23, 2001 within 3 of pick when they lost their last two home games.

Chiefs at Seahawks – The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-7.6 ppg) since September 13, 1998 on the road after a straight up win at home as a TD+ favorite. The Chiefs are 8-0-1 ATS (7.2 ppg) since October 31, 2004 within 3 of pick off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since September 27, 1998 as a road favorite between home games. The Seahawks are 12-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) since November 22, 1992 when they were a double-digit dog last game and trailed after the first quarter. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS (16.5 ppg) since December 17, 1989 within 3 of pick the week after as a dog in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. The Seahawks are 0-11-1 OU (-5.3 ppg) since November 13, 2005 when they allowed at least 100 more yards passing last week than their season-to-date average.

Titans at Texans – The Texans are 0-12-2 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since January 2006 when they scored more than expected in a game which went over by at least 10 points last game. The Titans are 7-0-1 OU (16.6 ppg) since October 29, 2001 on the road when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last three games. The Titans are 0-6 OU (-12.4 ppg) since January 03, 2004 on the road after playing at home as a TD+ favorite. The Texans are 8-0 OU (13.1 ppg) since December 24, 2006 at home after a straight up loss as a dog.

Fortyniners at Cardinals – The 49ers are 11-0-1 ATS (6.8 ppg) since November 10, 2008 when they allowed 21+ points last game on a Sunday. The 49ers are 8-0-1 ATS (13.7 ppg) since December 17, 1990 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent on Monday Night Football. The 49ers are 0-6 ATS (-16.6 ppg) since November 14, 1999 within 3 of pick after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Cardinals are 14-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since October 14, 1990 within 3 of pick at home when they lost and failed to cover their last two games. The Cardinals are 8-0-1 ATS (9.8 ppg) since October 02, 2005 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since October 08, 2006 as a home dog after a straight up loss. The 49ers are 0-11 OU (-9.6 ppg) since December 04, 2005 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent. The 49ers are 8-0-1 OU (14.7 ppg) since October 27, 2002 as a favorite when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Cardinals are 12-0-1 OU (9.0 ppg) since November 06, 2005 as a dog when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The Cardinals are 0-9-1 OU (-7.6 ppg) since November 05, 2000 as a home dog the week after a loss in which they outgained their opponent.