Value in Betting NFL 'Overs/Unders

A lot of people like to wager various NFL futures, including season win totals.. Obviously, certain teams will win more games then others. But can you get value in betting 'overs' and 'unders?'

Absolutely.

Just looking at the eight NFL divisions, you get a good feeling which teams should be on top come January. The Colts, Saints and Chargers are all set with 10 ½ games according to the NFL oddsmakers. They are all great teams, but in today’s league, winning 11 games is tough. An injury to Peyton Manning, Drew Brees or Philip Rivers changes everything.

Then there are the bottom-rung teams like Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo and Oakland. All four teams are at 5 ½ total wins. That's a difficult number. Anyone can get lucky a few weeks during the regular season. Plus, sweating for teams to lose can drive you crazy.

Here are four teams that I find to have a lot of value betting on their season win totals.

Chicago Bears: 'Under' 7 ½ wins (+135)
I don’t care who they traded for in the offseason. This team still has a bad coach, an interception-prone QB, and must face NFC North Division rivals Minnesota and Green Bay twice each. This team will not finish .500. Take the 'under.'

Cincinnati Bengals: 'Over' 8 ½ wins (-110)
This is a squad that won 10 games a season ago. The Bengals have a steadily progressing QB, solid running game, and a good schedule. I like them to win more then 8 ½ games. Take the 'over.'

Philadelphia Eagles: 'Over' 8 ½ wins (-105)
This team won 11 games last year, including six in a row towards the end of the season. Clearly Dallas is the strongest team in the NFC East, but Philly can handle both New York and Washington. A lot of pride and great fans tell me to take the 'ovr.'

Pittsburgh Steelers: 'Under' 8 ½ wins (-110)
This team didn’t make the playoffs last season for a reason. The Steelers enter this season minus some key personnel on offense. Being without Big Ben Roethlisberger for the first four weeks is bad enough, and he will be rusty when he gets back. He won’t be the answer to their prayers right away.

Add to the equation that they are sharing the AFC North Division with Baltimore and Cincinnatti, and it does not bode well for the Steelers. Take the 'under.'

There you have it, sports fans. Good luck, and make sure to take advantage of all my winning plays each week this season. It will be my best season ever.