NFL Week 1 Trends

Featured System: The League is 14-0 ATS (10.9 ppg) in database history when they lost by between 25 and 34 the last time they faced the team within the last three years but did score in that game, if that team won between 5 and 12 of its last 16 games last year

Vince has discovered a week one exclusive leaguewide system which reads “The League is 14-0 ATS (10.9 ppg) in database history in week one when they lost by between 25 and 34 the last time they faced the team within the last three years but did score in that game, if that team won between 5 and 12 of its last 16 games last year.”
These teams are able to play this team which blew them out last season must closer in the year opener, and have won 10 of the 14 games straight up.
A look at the quarterly results shows that these teams have actually fallen behind in the first quarter of these games by 1.3 points on average before taking command in the second quarter with an average +4.4 point average.
This trend is active twice in week one, on the Giants, who lost to the Giants, 41-9, in week 16 last year and the Chiefs, who fell to 43-14 to San Diego in week 12.
The system was active last year in week one, again with a Monday night game against San Diego. In that contest, Oakland covered the 9.5 point spot in a 24-20 loss.

Note: With limited trends active in week one due to the lack of previous game data, we are using this opportunity to show the ability to run teaser trends. Any trend with the “p6” or “m6” designation after the ATS is a two-team teaser trend, meaning it qualifies as a winner within six points of the line or total. “p6” is for a play on teaser and “m6” is for a play against teaser

Vikings at Saints – The Vikings are 12-0-1 ATSp6 (13.4 ppg) since December 25, 2005 as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home.

Lions at Bears – The Bears are 8-0 ATSp6 (10.2 ppg) since December 02, 1990 as a 7+ favorite vs a divisional opponent before playing on the road.

Dolphins at Bills –The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since December 01, 2002 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent.

Browns at Buccaneers – The Browns are 10-0 ATSp6 (8.3 ppg) since October 01, 2006 on the road vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent.

Packers at Eagles –The Packers are 7-0 OU (17.6 ppg) since October 22, 2006 as a road dog vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent.

Panthers at Giants – The Giants are 9-1-1 OU (6.5 ppg) since November 25, 2007 as a 7+ favorite.

Broncos at Jaguars –The Broncos are 10-0 ATSp6 (16.0 ppg) since October 01, 1989 as a road dog before playing at home in each of the next two weeks.

Bengals at Patriots – The Patriots are 7-0-1 ATSp6 (8.9 ppg) since December 20, 1992 versus the Bengals.

Cardinals at Rams – The Cardinals are 8-0-1 ATS (9.8 ppg) since October 02, 2005 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent. The Rams are 0-6 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since September 09, 2007 within 3 of pick at home. The Rams are 0-22 ATSm6 (-14.6 ppg) since October 15, 2006 vs a divisional opponent.

Cowboys at Redskins –The Redskins are 0-13 OU (-8.7 ppg) since October 19th, 2003 vs any team that has beaten them three straight, as long as the total is less than 43. The Redskins are 0-8-1 OU (-11.6 ppg) since December 16, 2001 as a home dog vs a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent.

Fortyniners at Seahawks –The 49ers are 8-0 ATS (11.0 ppg) since December 12, 2004 vs a divisional opponent with non-divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks.

Falcons at Steelers – The Falcons are 9-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since September 08, 2002 as a road dog vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent.

Colts at Texans – The Colts are 9-0 OU (10.8 ppg) since December 11, 2005 on the road vs a divisional opponent before playing at home.

Raiders at Titans – The Raiders are 0-11 ATSm6 (-12.6 ppg) since September 01, 1991 on the road in their season opener.

Chargers at Chiefs –The Chiefs are 0-9 ATSm6 (-10.6 ppg) since September 20, 1993 at home on Monday Night Football.

Ravens at Jets –The Ravens are 0-6 OU (-11.3 ppg) since November 02, 1997 as a road dog vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a divisional opponent.