Packers dominate Bears at Soldier Field
The Green Bay Packers have defeated the Chicago Bears in 13 of their last 16 series meetings at Solider Field, and have covered the spread 12 times in the process. Both teams enter this matchup with identical 2-0 SU records.
But if Jay Cutler plays as well as he did last Sunday against Dallas, the Packers are going to be in trouble during the Monday night ESPN telecast when they meet the Bears at Solider Field.
Most offshore sports books monitored by the Don Best odds product have the Packers as three-point road favorites, with the total at 46.
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in the 60s with wind blowing 13 mph and a 10 percent chance of rain.
The unpredictable Cutler was magnificent last week in sparking the Bears to a 27-20 victory against the Cowboys as seven-point road favorites. Cutler hung tough against heavy pressure to execute offensive coordinator Mike Martz's passing attack by going 21-for-27 for 277 yards and three touchdowns.
The Packers intercepted Cutler six times in sweeping Chicago last season, 21-15 at home as 4 ½-point favorites and 21-14 as four-point road favorites. Both contests went ‘under' the total.
This could very well be a shootout, as Aaron Rodgers also had a strong performance last week in a 34-7 home win against Buffalo. Rodgers helped Green Bay easily cover a 12 ½-point spread by completing 19-of-29 throws for 255 yards and two touchdowns. The combined 41 points dipped ‘under' the closing total of 43.
Sparked by Rodgers, the Packers have scored an NFL-high 61 points.
The key could be the play of the offensive lines, which have been shaky. Counting preseason, Chicago has yielded 24 sacks.
Bears offensive tackle Chris Williams is dealing with a hamstring injury and may miss the game. Frank Omiyale moved from right tackle to left tackle when Williams was hurt last week and didn't yield a sack.
The Bears must be careful with linebacker Clay Matthews, who leads the NFL with six sacks.
The Packers must account for Julius Peppers and a rejuvenated Brian Urlacher. Chad Clifton, the Packers' veteran offensive left tackle, was taken out of the Bills' game because of knee soreness. The Packers have rookie Bryan Bulaga, an Illinois native and their first-round draft choice, ready if Clifton can't handle Peppers.
The Bears only have two sacks, but rank No. 1 versus the run. They have held the Lions and Cowboys to a combined average of 1.4 yards per carry. The Packers lost No. 1 back Ryan Grant, for the season with an ankle injury. Backup Brandon Jackson is not a heavy-duty replacement.
Matt Forte, Chicago's top running back, is playing even better than he did when he was a rookie in 2008 following a down season last year. He's been used much more as a receiver with Martz calling the offensive shots. Forte has caught three touchdown passes, while accounting for a combined 277 yards receiving and rushing.
The long-time rivals have met seven times at night - five on Monday and two on Sunday - and Green Bay has won six of the seven. Green Bay has outscored Chicago, 203-107, during that span.
Green Bay is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 road games. The Packers also have covered in 11 of their past 14 September games. They are 6-1-1 in their last eight games against NFC opponents.
Chicago is 2-0 for the first time since 2006, the season it reached the Super Bowl. The Bears, though, are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, including going 1-5 ATS during their last six games at Solider Field.
The Bears have defeated the Packers in seven of the past 12 meetings since Lovie Smith became their head coach. Green Bay was 20-3 versus Chicago before Smith took over.