Pats out to hurt Bills
It is clear that the Bills really don't have a great direction for their franchise right now. Head Coach Chan Gailey is still in search of his first win in Buffalo, and in order to do so, he is changing starting quarterbacks from Trent Edwards to Ryan Fitzpatrick.
The first question that comes to our mind is simply, "Why???"
Last year, Fitzpatrick threw 10 INTs against just nine TD passes and averaged just 142.2 YPG. For his career, the Harvard graduate will be making his 29th appearance. So far in his previous 28 outings, he is completing just 57.8 percent of his passes for 4,104 yards and 21 scores against 27 picks. He has also lost eight fumbles and has been sacked a whopping 68 times. Fitzpatrick's QB rating of 67.7 leaves plenty to be desired as well.
Needless to say, Fitzpatrick is walking into a nightmare position right now. He is taking over an offense that is averaging just 176.0 YPG through two weeks and only has two TDs to speak of on the year.
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Getting WR Lee Evans and RB CJ Spiller more involved in the offense is going to be paramount for the Bills to stand any chance on Sunday. Evans only has four catches on the season, while Spiller has just eight grabs and eight carries for a total of 40 yards.
The defense hasn't exactly been stellar either, as Buffalo only has three sacks and two forced turnovers on the season. For a team that led the NFL season for the majority of last year in INTs, the secondary has yet to intercept an opposing pass on the season.
Enter the Patriots, who have to be piping mad following that 28-14 loss at New Meadowlands Stadium to the New York Jets last week.
Even though the passing game is only averaging 248.5 YPG this year, QB Tom Brady knows that he could easily go off for 350-400 yards in this game if he wants to. The rushing game has been depleted with the loss of RB Kevin Faulk for the season with an ACL tear, which might prompt Belichick to turn his passing attack loose in what could be a real romp.
Sure, Brady already has some very familiar targets to throw the pigskin to like WR Wes Welker (14 catches, 102 yards, 3 TDs in 2010) and WR Randy Moss (7 catches, 97 yards, 1 TD in 2010), but the emergence of rookie TE Aaron Hernandez is going to make a huge different. Hernandez, a former Florida Gator, caught six passes for 101 yards last week and is clearly going to be a focal point for the Brady Bunch again this weekend.
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The only real questions for the Pats are coming defensively. The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets both put up very solid numbers against this 'D', something that has to scare the wits out of Belichick. His offense might be capable of putting up 30+ points on anyone in the league, but having to do so isn't something that he is interested in.
The defense for the Pats is allowing 270.5 passing YPG and 111.5 rushing YPG, both numbers of which rank them in the bottom half of the NFL.
Still, the oddsmakers are showing plenty of faith in New England in this game, and so are NFL betting fanatics. At 5Dimes Sportsbook, this line opened at the Pats minus 13 and has since risen to a whopping 15.5. The 'total' has been set at 42.5.
New England is 6-1 ATS over its last seven meetings with the Bills, outscoring them 197-67 in that stretch.