Week 4 trends (Part 2)

Tom Brady will visit his personal house of horrors Monday night when the New England Patriots travel to Miami to do battle against the Dolphins during the ESPN national telecast.

Brady is just 3-5 both straight-up and against the football betting spread in eight lifetime games at Miami, with one of those wins occurring in overtime (2003). He has 17 touchdowns versus nine interceptions.

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Brady went 19-of-29 for 352 yards in Miami last December during a 22-21 loss as a 4 ½-point road favorite. However, he suffered two fourth-quarter interceptions as the Patriots blew a rare 21-10 second-half lead.
New England dropped a 28-24 decision against the New York Jets as a three-point favorite in its lone road game this year. The Patriots were 2-6 SU and 2-4-2 ATS on the road last year. One of the wins (and covers) wasn't even a true road game because it was in London against Tampa Bay.
Miami is coming off a 31-23 Sunday night home loss to the Jets as a one-point favorite. The Dolphins are 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three home games, with their last win occurring against New England.
The ‘over' is 7-1-1 in Miami's last nine home games thanks to the defense holding just one opponent under 21 points.
Trends and angles for other Week 4 late games are below.

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COLTS AT JAGUARS
Indianapolis has won and ‘covered' the last two weeks after losing at Houston (34-24) as one-point favorites in Week 1. The Colts are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games. The ‘over' is 4-1 in Indianapolis' last five road games.
Jacksonville is 1-6 both SU and ATS in its last seven games. The Jaguars are 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three games hosting Indianapolis.

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TEXANS AT RAIDERS
Houston had a six-game winning streak (4-1-1 ATS) snapped at home to Dallas last week (27-13 as 1 ½-point favorites). The ‘under' is 6-1-1 in the Texans' last eight road games.
Oakland is 7-18 SU and 8-17 ATS at home since 2007. Oakland is 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five games versus Houston.
REDSKINS AT EAGLES
Washington is 1-11 SU (4-5-3 ATS) in its last 12 road games. The ‘over' is 10-3 in the Redskins last 13 games.
Philadelphia won 28-3 at Jacksonville last week as two-point favorites. It was its first ‘cover' in six games. The Eagles are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS at home against Washington the last five games.

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CARDINALS AT CHARGERS
Arizona is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The ‘over' is 2-0 in its last two games and 4-1 in its last five outings.
San Diego is 6-1 SU and 3-3-1 ATS in its last seven home games. The Chargers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against Arizona.
BEARS AT NY GIANTS
Chicago was 4-0 SU in its last four games prior to the Monday night game with Green Bay. Chicago won and ‘covered' its only road game this year, 27-20 at Dallas as seven-point ‘dogs. The Bears were 2-6 both SU and ATS on the road last year.
New York is 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five games. The ‘over' is 7-1 in New York's last eight games. This is just the fourth series meeting in the last decade, with the road team winning and ‘covering' the last three.