The Miami Dolphins and Dallas

November 21, 2011

Cowboys have played in some memorable Thanksgiving Day games before, and NFL betting fanatics will hope that this year's matchup is no exception when the teams meet in Arlington in Week 12.
Kickoff from Cowboys Stadium is set for 4:15 p.m. (ET), and there is live television coverage available on CBS.
It's amazing to think that the Dolphins (3-7 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) have won three games in a row. They were once thought to be a contender for nothing more than the Andrew Luck Sweepstakes, but all of a sudden, a win in this game opens up the possibility of at least staying remotely in the playoff picture.
Over these last three games, Miami has won by an aggregate score of 86-20. The Dolphins have sored at least 31 in two of the three games, and none of their opponents – Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Redskins and Buffalo Bills – reached double digits.
The defense has really been the difference for the Fins. They rank No. 17 in the league in total defense at 350.0 YPG, but if you take out that Week 1 debacle against the New England Patriots, they are only allowing 331.6 YPG, which would rank No. 11.
Matt Moore has also done a tremendous job the last two weeks. He hasn't had to do much, but the Oregon State product has thrown for 404 yards and six TDs without tossing an interception. He is also completing nearly 72 percent of his passes in that stretch.
Of course, this game against the Cowboys (6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) is going to be a significantly harder challenge, especially on Thanksgiving in front of a national audience.
The Cowboys have found their stride, and have also won three straight games to get back into a first place tie in the NFC East.
Tony Romo has led this team to an average of 31.3 PPG over the course of the last three weeks, and has been doing this without Miles Austin, one of his top receivers in the lineup.
Austin has a hamstring injury that has kept him out of the last two games, and he is considered questionable in this one.
Romo will still have Dez Bryant and Laurent Robinson to throw the pigskin to, and of course, we cannot forget about Jason Witten and his 670 yards with five scores as well.
DeMarco Murray continues to just pound the football. He has rushed for at least 70 yards in five straight, averaging 20 carries per game in that stretch and proving to be the workhorse that the Cowboys were desperately looking for in the offseason.
The Dolphins have played on Thanksgiving Day six times, going 5-1 in those duels, the best winning percentage for any team who has played at least five times on Thanksgiving. Dallas is 27-15-1 in its 43 appearances.
The Cowboys had won four straight both SU and ATS on Turkey Day before losing to the New Orleans Saints last year on the holiday.
Miami does have three wins in "Big D" on Thanksgiving, most notably the 1993 game in which Leon Lett became a laughing stock for tripping over the football in the snow to give the Dolphins their opportunity to win the game 16-14.
A few weeks ago, this surely would have been a double digit point spread. However, with the Dolphins playing good football, Dallas is only getting the nod by a touchdown. The total has been set at 44½.