The Miami Dolphins and
Buffalo Bills are both holding on to the dimmest of playoff hopes this year, and the two will meet in an AFC East tussle in Week 15. The NFL betting lines will be on the board for this one until 1:00 (ET) on Sunday afternoon, when regional TV coverage gets started on CBS.
It seems amazing that Buffalo (5-8 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) still has a shot of getting into the playoffs despite losing six straight games. The defeats seem to be getting worse and worse as well, as the Bills were trounced last week by the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium, 37-10. They are only 1-5 ATS during this losing streak.
It's hard to really mention much of anything that has been good on this losing streak. The offense is only scoring 12.8 PPG, and the defense is conceding 32.3 PPG on this run.
It should come as no surprise that the numbers for Ryan Fitzpatrick have gone downhill severely over the last few weeks. After posting six games out of seven with a quarterback rating of at least 88 and a completion percentage of greater than 60 percent to start the season, the Harvard grad has only completed more than 60 percent of his passes in three of his last six, and he has had four games with a QB rating between 31 and 52.
With Fred Jackson out of the lineup and on injured reserve, there just aren't any consistent weapons on offense. CJ Spiller was averaging 5.5 YPC when he took over for Jackson as the starter, and since that point, he has just 184 yards on 45 carries, an average of a tick over 4.0 YPC.
The Dolphins (4-9 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) came out this week and announced they will be replacing Tony Sparano as their head coach for next season. Considering the fact that Sparano was rumored to be run out of town after last season, this was really one of the worst kept secrets in the league.
There is a serious question whether Miami is going to take these last three games seriously or not. The team has been without starting quarterback Chad Henne for months, and now, Matt Moore is probably out of the fold with a head injury that he suffered last week against the Philadelphia Eagles.
JP Losman, a former Bill, came in and went 6-of-10 for 60 yards after the Eagles game was relatively out of hand, and he could be called into starting duty this week.
The good news is that the Miami defense really has played well for the majority of the season. After allowing over 500 passing yards to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in Week 1, the team has settled down and allowed an average of just 311.2 YPG and 17.3 PPG. Last week's 26-10 loss was the first time that the Dolphins had allowed more than 20 points in a game since Week 4.
With the injury situation to Moore unclear, this game is off the Week 15 NFL odds board.
The Bills were romped 35-8 on November 20 when these teams met in South Beach. That win gave the Dolphins a 5-2 SU and ATS edge in this series dating back to the 2008 season.
One would think that the Dolphins would struggle on the road in December, especially against cold weather teams. However, they have covered seven in a row and 11-of-13 on the road in December.
Expect temperatures to be around the freezing mark on Sunday, as highs are only in the mid-30s. There isn't a threat of rain, but cloudy conditions are expected.