NFL week five trends

by Sportsbook Breakers
Buccaneers at Bengals – The Buccaneers is 9-0 ATS (15.7 ppg) since October 13, 1996 when they lost by 21+ last game on normal rest. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since October 05, 2003 after playing on the road versus the Browns. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since December 22, 2002 at home the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Bengals are 0-7 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since December 10, 1989 as a 7+ favorite when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12 yards per completion season-to-date. The Buccaneers are 8-0-1 OU (14.1 ppg) since October 18, 1992 as a dog the week after their bye. The Bengals are 0-9 OU (-9.6 ppg) since December 02, 2001 after playing on the road versus the Browns. The Bengals are 0-6 OU (-10.7 ppg) since October 22, 2006 at home when they lost 1-3 points last week.

Jaguars at Bills – The Jaguars are 0-12-1 ATS (-12.3 ppg) since December 19, 1999 when their game went over by 10+ points last game and the total was at least 40.5. The Bills are 0-7 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since October 15, 2000 as a favorite the week after in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Bills are 6-0 ATS (15.6 ppg) since October 20, 2002 when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last three games. The League is 0-10 OU (-9.8 ppg) since September 27, 2009 as a dog when they won by 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The Bills are 7-0 OU (12.8 ppg) since October 31, 2004 as a home favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30.

Falcons at Browns – The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (9.1 ppg) since November 17, 2002 as a favorite when they had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last three games. The Browns are 10-0-1 ATS (6.3 ppg) since December 18, 2005 as a dog when their ats margin increased over each of their past two games. The Browns are 9-0 ATS (6.3 ppg) since September 22, 2002 as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent between divisional opponents. The Falcons are 0-7 OU (-5.5 ppg) since December 02, 2001 the week after scoring fewer than 17 points and winning. The Browns are 0-6 OU (-8.0 ppg) since October 18, 1992 within 3 of pick at home after playing at home as a dog.

Saints at Cardinals – The Saints are 0-9 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since December 06, 2009 after playing as a favorite. The Saints are 6-0 ATS (12.1 ppg) since November 20, 2005 when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since December 24, 2005 at home the week after a game in which they had fewer than 50 yards rushing. The Cardinals are 10-0 OU (15.6 ppg) since October 12, 2003 as a dog the week after a loss in which they had fewer than 50 yards rushing.

Chiefs at Colts – Teams are 9-0 ATS since 2008 when they allowed 10+ points less than expecte before a bye last week. The Colts are 0-7 ATS (-4.6 ppg) since October 29, 1995 as a 7+ favorite when on a 1 game SU and ATS losing streak. The Colts are 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since December 03, 2000 when they lost 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The Colts are 0-8 OU (-11.6 ppg) since November 25, 2004 when facing a team that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date.

Titans at Cowboys – The Titans are 0-12 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since November 5, 2000 when they committed 10+ penalties last week and were up after three quarters. The League is 0-9 ATS (-6.3 ppg) since November 04, 2007 as a road dog the week before playing on Monday Night on the road. The Titans are 0-8 ATS (-20.9 ppg) since November 23, 2008 when facing a team that has averaged fewer than four punts per game season-to-date. The Titans are 0-7 ATS (-21.1 ppg) since December 28, 2008 the week after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing. The Cowboys are 0-10 ATS (-11.1 ppg) since November 11, 1993 when they were tied at the end of the first quarter last game and went on to cover by at least 14 points.

Eagles at Fortyniners – The Eagles are 6-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since September 24, 2000 within 3 of pick on the road when they lost 1-3 points last week. The 49ers are 7-0-1 ATS (9.1 ppg) since December 15, 2007 at home versus any team with more wins. The Eagles are 9-0-1 OU (10.2 ppg) since December 24, 2005 as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent. The Eagles are 8-0 OU (10.2 ppg) since November 26, 2006 on the road after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The 49ers are 8-0-1 OU (8.9 ppg) since September 14, 1997 as a home favorite after playing on the road when their dps was negative in their last two games.

Rams at Lions – The Rams are 11-0 ATS (12.0 ppg) when they covered by 14+ points last game on normal rest. The Lions are 0-9-1 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since November 10, 1991 as a favorite after playing on the road as a TD+ dog. The Rams are 7-0 OU (11.3 ppg) since December 27, 1998 on the road when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last three games. The Lions are 7-0 OU (14.6 ppg) since November 04, 2007 when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Lions are 6-0 OU (15.5 ppg) since October 09, 2005 as a home favorite after a straight up loss.

Bears at Panthers – The Bears are 0-8 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since December 04, 1995 within 3 of pick on the road when facing a team that has averaged less than 28 minutes of possession time season-to-date. The Bears are 6-0-1 ATS (10.2 ppg) since November 19, 2006 as a road favorite versus any team with fewer wins. The Panthers are 12-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since October 15, 1995 when they covered by at least a TD last week with 28 minutes of possession time or fewer. The Panthers are 9-0-1 ATS (12.7 ppg) since October 15, 1995 within 3 of pick at home after a game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time. The Panthers are 8-0 ATS (8.3 ppg) since December 22, 2007 when their dps was negative in their last two games. The League is 13-0 OU (14.1 ppg) since December 02, 2007 within 3 of pick on the road after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average on the road. The Bears are 0-8-2 OU (-8.7 ppg) since December 10, 1995 as a favorite the week after scoring fewer than 10 points on the road. The Panthers are 0-8 OU (-8.2 ppg) since December 21, 2003 at home when their dps was negative in their last two games.

Chargers at Raiders – The Chargers are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since November 14, 1993 as a favorite when they are 500 after a straight up win. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS (6.5 ppg) since December 10, 1989 on the road the week after a game in which they allowed fewer than 100 yards passing. The Raiders are 7-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since November 07, 2004 as a dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 8-0 OU (14.1 ppg) since December 23, 2007 as a dog when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date.

Broncos at Ravens – The Broncos are 9-0-2 ATS (9.2 ppg) since October 18, 1992 as a dog when their rushing yards decreased in each of the last two weeks. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since November 19, 2000 as a home favorite when they won by 1-3 points last week. The Ravens are 0-8 OU (-7.1 ppg) since December 07, 2008 as a favorite after a straight up win. The Broncos are 0-6 OU (-6.8 ppg) since November 24, 1991 on the road after a straight up win on the road as a dog.

Packers at Redskins – The Packers are 10-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since December 01, 1997 the week after a straight up win in which they benefited from 100+ yards of penalties. The Packers are 9-0-1 ATS (9.9 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as a road favorite versus any team with fewer wins, after a straight up win at home. The League is 0-10 OU (-9.8 ppg) since September 27, 2009 as a dog when they won by 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The Redskins are 0-6 OU (-5.2 ppg) since October 16, 1994 as a dog the week after on the road in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average.

Giants at Texans – The Giants are 8-0 ATS (11.7 ppg) since December 22, 2002 on the road after they allowed at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Giants are 8-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since October 24, 1999 when they are 500 after a straight up win at home. The Giants are 7-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since December 03, 2006 the week after in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Giants are 6-0 OU (17.1 ppg) since September 20, 2009 as a dog. The Texans are 8-0 OU (8.1 ppg) since November 19, 2006 when their completion percentage decreased in each of their last two games.

Vikings at Jets – The Vikings are 0-9 ATS (-13.8 ppg) since December 05, 2004 on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Jets are 0-9 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since October 03, 1993 at home when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week as a favorite. The Jets are 0-6 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since October 14, 2007 at home after playing on the road in each of the previous two weeks. The Vikings are 9-0 OU (14.6 ppg) since October 06, 1991 on the road when their dps was negative in their last three games. The Jets are 0-6-1 OU (-9.6 ppg) since November 22, 1992 as a favorite when they allowed at least 100 fewer yards passing last week than their season-to-date average in a straight up win.