Most turnover-prone teams in football
It is quintessential coach speak. But, at the end of the day, you have to hand it to the NFL's princes of the podium. When they address the media about turning the ball over, what they spew is usually true:
"Whoever wins the battle of the turnovers, is going to win the game."
We know, we know. If you had a dollar for every time you heard that one, right? Well, now that camps are open, prepare to hear it again.
But, honestly, these coaches are onto something. Just take a look at last year. The Top 4 winners in turnover margin made the playoffs, including the Super Bowl champion Saints. On the flip side, none of the bottom five teams in turnover margin won more than five games.
But this is August, after all. "Everyone is in first place" (another coach-speak classic) is the theme. So, with that in mind, let's take a look at those bottom five turnover-margin teams from 2009 and what might be in store for them this season:
Washington Redskins (-11)
Why this might change: Donovan McNabb is more reliable than Jason Campbell. McNabb's Eagles, in fact, finished second in the league with a +15 turnover margin last season. Plus, Clinton Portis is one of the league's more sure-handed running backs, when healthy.
Why this won't change: McNabb made due out of throwing to underperforming receivers with the Eagles, but Santana Moss and Joey Galloway might not offer much of a change of pace. If they can't break free against some quality secondaries in the NFC East, McNabb may top 11 interceptions for the first time since 2001.
Cleveland Browns (-12)
Why this might change: Momentum. The Browns won their final four games last season. In doing so, they allowed less than 17 points three times and actually forced five turnovers. For a defense with little to go on, that is a modest stepping stone.
Why this won't change: Jake Delhomme. The veteran signal caller has become a turnover machine in his career's twilight. He threw 18 picks last season and has 30 across the last two campaigns. Now, he has to face the likes of the Steelers and Ravens twice a season? Good luck.
Oakland Raiders (-13)
Why this might change: The schedule. The Raiders have a decent defense and this year, that unit will only face three teams that made the playoffs in 2009. If you play teams with mediocre offenses (Denver, Kansas City, St. Louis, Seattle) like the Raiders will, there's always a chance to net turnovers.
Why this won't change: Jason Campbell. The Redskins' headache is now the Raiders'. He accounted for 18 turnovers in Washington last season, including 15 interceptions. In four years, he's never had less than six picks and has reached double digits twice.
St. Louis Rams (-13)
Why this might change: A healthy Steven Jackson. The workhorse back has never lost more than three fumbles in his six-year career. That's not bad considering the punishment he's taken, being the focal point of one of the league's worst offenses. At 6-foot-2 and 231 pounds, he is a bear to bring down and he holds that ball like it's his own.
Why this won't change: Sam Bradford. Look, the Rams have to throw him to the wolves. And rookie quarterbacks (Mark Sanchez and Joe Flacco notwithstanding) tend to throw into traffic. Hard to believe that's going to change. Alex Smith threw 11 picks in just nine games during his rookie year in San Francisco. Eli Manning threw nine, also in nine games, in his first year with the Giants. Matthew Stafford threw 13 in 10 games is his debut year with the Lions. You get the idea.
Detroit Lions (-18)
Why this might change: Matthew Stafford. Speaking of the former Georgia Bulldog, a big jump from his freshman to sophomore season may be in store, as he has some weapons at his disposal. Rookie running back Jahvid Best, a bolt of lightning out of Cal, can bail Stafford out when under pressure. A sack and possible fumble last year may indeed become a swing pass to Best this year.
Why this won't change: The defense. Rookie tackle Ndamukong Suh will help up front. He will be a disruption and will run down a quarterback or two. But can one man, even the mountain that he may be, truly help turn around a unit that gives up yards in chunks and posted just nine interceptions last season?